Conférence / “Long-term Economic Stagnation and Social Division-Disfunction of Japan’s Welfare State” Lunch Seminar on Japanese Economy and Society de la Maison franco-japonaise (19 février 2021, 12h30-14h00 HdT)

L’Institut français de recherche sur le Japon à la Maison franco-japonaise a le plaisir de vous inviter au prochain Lunch Seminar on Japanese Economy and Society.

Long-term Economic Stagnation and Social Division-Disfunction 
of Japan’s Welfare State

IDE Eisaku (Keio University)

Friday February 19th, 2021
12:30-14:00 (Japan)
Online


    This presentation provides an overview of the post-war Japanese welfare state regime, which basis had been on the “popularized moral”, and reveals that its economic foundations have collapsed in the late 1990s. It clarifies the fact that the dismantling of the regime has accelerated the division of Japanese society in recent years.
    The Japanese welfare state was based on the principle of self-responsibility that assumed diligent labor, frugality, and savings. Miraculous economic growth in the 1960s increased average income and enabled a natural increase in tax revenue under a progressive personal income system. The government, however, did not use this revenue increase to expand social services, but instead mostly returned it to the taxpayer through personal income tax cuts. As a result, Japan’s household savings rate had reached the highest level in developed countries. The savings were accumulated both in private financial institutions and postal savings. Backed by such an ample amount of household savings, private financial institutions financed a large amount of corporate capital investment, and postal savings financed public works through the Fiscal Investment and Loan Program. This financing mechanism enabled further economic growth. I define this kind of welfare state regime characterized by low social spending, high savings rate, and dependence on economic growth as the Industrious State.
    The Industrious State resulted in creating a society in which others would not socially approve male workers unless they defend their family at their own risk through labor and savings. In other words, people regarded reliance on public services as their moral failure, which leads to their lower social status. Due to a sharp drop in household income combined with the fear of relying on public services, the number of suicides increased sharply in 1998, when the household income started to decline. Average household income has not recovered to the level of 1997 yet, and the proportion of low-income groups has increased to the standard of the early 1990s. A large number of eligible recipients for welfare programs choose not to receive the benefits, and many low-income people incorrectly classify themselves as middle class. The decline in homeownership and birth rates is also remarkable. Japan, which was once known as an egalitarian nation and had a strong social cohesion, is on a historical juncture.

The event is open to all.
Registration is required at www.mfj.gr.jp/agenda/2021/02/19/ls_ide/

Log in data will be provided after registration.

Conférence : Consequence of hometown regiment: the Japanese case during the WWII (26 novembre 2020 à 9h30)

The FFJ is pleased to announce its forthcoming webinar with Ryo Kambayashi as the main speaker.

Consequence of hometown regiment: the Japanese case during the WWII

War sometimes made a huge gender imbalance in certain cohort and in certain areas. While it is a common idea that such gender imbalance may have moved the trajectory of economic development, the controversy is still inconclusive, because the market economy has a strong restoring force. We intend to contribute to this literature by introducing the Japanese experience during the second world war. Japan lost more than 2 million soldiers between 1938 and 1945. Since the Japan Imperial Army organized its main force as “hometown regiment”, the loss of young male is concentrated in certain cohort of certain geographical areas. By exploiting the variation of changes in gender balance cohort-by-prefecture, we examined the loss of young male may affect the post-war industrial structure. What we found so far is that the reduction of gender ratio may have led to slower industrialization, though it is only to a limited degree in terms of quantity.

Abstract :
War sometimes made a huge gender imbalance in certain cohort and in certain areas. While it is a common idea that such gender imbalance may have moved the trajectory of economic development, the controversy is still inconclusive, because the market economy has a strong restoring force. We intend to contribute to this literature by introducing the Japanese experience during the second world war. Japan lost more than 2 million soldiers between 1938 and 1945. Since the Japan Imperial Army organized its main force as “hometown regiment”, the loss of young male is concentrated in certain cohort of certain geographical areas. By exploiting the variation of changes in gender balance cohort-by-prefecture, we examined the loss of young male may affect the post-war industrial structure. What we found so far is that the reduction of gender ratio may have led to slower industrialization, though it is only to a limited degree in terms of quantity.

Speaker : Ryo Kambayashi (Professor, Hitotsubashi University)

Ryo Kambayashi is Professor at the Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University. His research field is labour economics, law and economics, Japanese economic history and institutional economics. He earned his PhD in economics from the Graduate School of Economics, University of Tokyo and was previously an Associate Professor at Tokyo Metropolitan University, a visiting scholar at the Department of Economics, Stanford University.

His publications include:

  • “The Minimum Wage in a Deflationary Economy: The Japanese Experience, 1994-2003” Labor Economics, Vol. 24, pp. 264-276, 2013, (with Daiji Kawaguchi and Ken Yamada)
  • “Incidence of Strict Quality Standards: Protection of Consumers or Windfall for Professionals?” Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 57, pp. 195-224, 2014, (with Daiji Kawaguchi and TetsushiMurao).

Discussant: Lionel Kesztenbaum (Senior researcher, INED)

Lionel Kesztenbaum is a senior researcher (Directeur de Recherche) at INED, the French National Demographic Institute. He is also an affiliated member of Paris School of Economics where he teaches economic history and historical demography. His research focuses on inequality in the long run, especially inequality in length of life and access to resources for elderly people.He has published papers in various scientific Journals (Explorations in Economic HistoryGenèseThe Journal of Economic HistoryJournal of Urban EconomicsPopulation; etc.) and is one of the author of a book on historical data dedicated to 19th century France: L’enquête TRA : histoire d’un outil, outil d’histoire. Tome 1. 1793-1902, Éditions de l’Ined: Paris.

Program : here